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Release Date :
Reference Number :
2024CAR11SR-04-015

Table A. Year-on-Year Inflation Rates, All Items
In percent
(2018=100)

fig1

 

Figure 1. Inflation Rates in CAR, All Items
(2018=100)

fig2

Source: Retail Price Survey of Commodities for the Generation of Consumer Price Index, Philippine Statistics Authority

Figure 2. Inflation Rates in Benguet, All Items
(2018=100)
 

fig3

Source: Retail Price Survey of Commodities for the Generation of Consumer Price Index, Philippine Statistics Authority

Table B. Year-on-Year Inflation Rates in Benguet
By Commodity Groups
In percent
(2018=100)

fig4

1.Philippines
The country’s inflation rate for the bottom 30% income households increased to 4.6 percent in March 2024 from 4.2 percent in February 2024. In March 2023, inflation rate was posted at 8.8 percent. 


Main Drivers to the Upward Trend of the Overall Inflation


The main driver to the upward trend of the overall inflation for this income group in March 2024 was the higher year-on-year growth of the heavily-weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages at 7.1 percent from 6.4 percent in the previous month. The slower annual decline of 2.5 percent in the housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels index during the month from a 2.8 percent annual decrease in the previous month also contributed to the uptrend of the overall inflation for this income group.


In addition, higher annual increments were posted in transport at 2.2 percent during the month from 1.8 percent in February 2024, and recreation, sports and culture at 6.6 percent in March 2024 from 6.5 percent in the previous month.


In contrast, lower annual growth rates were noted in the indices of the following food groups during the month:
a.    Alcoholic beverages and tobacco, 7.6 percent from 9.5 percent;
b.    Clothing and footwear, 3.5 percent from 3.7 percent;
c.    Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance, 3.6 percent from 4.0 percent;
d.    Health, 2.6 percent from 2.8 percent; and
e.    Personal care, and miscellaneous goods and services, 4.0 percent from 4.2 percent.
The indices of the rest of the commodity groups retained their respective previous month’s annual rates. 


Main Contributor to the Overall Inflation


The following commodity groups were the top three contributors to the March 2024 overall inflation for the bottom 30% income households:
a.    Food and non-alcoholic beverages, 82.8 percent share or 3.8 percentage points;
b.    Restaurants and accommodation services, 8.3 percent share or 0.4 percentage point; and
c.    Alcoholic beverages and tobacco, 4.2 percent share or 0.2 percentage point.


Food Inflation


Food inflation for the bottom 30% income households at the national level moved at a faster pace of 7.4 percent in March 2024 from 6.5 percent in the previous month. In March 2023, its annual increase was observed at 9.7 percent. 


Main Drivers to the Upward Trend of the Food Inflation


The uptrend in the food inflation was mainly due to the slower annual decrease in vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses at 5.4 percent during the month from 11.7 percent annual decrease in the February 2024. In addition, faster year-on-year increases were observed in the indices of cereals and cereal products, which includes rice, corn, flour, bread and other bakery products, pasta products, and other cereals, at 19.8 percent in March 2024 from 18.9 percent in the previous month, and meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals at 1.9 percent from 0.9 percent.

2. Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR)

Similar to the national trend, inflation in the region for the bottom 30% income households increased to 5.1 percent in March 2024, from 4.1 percent in February 2024. In March 2023, inflation was higher at 7.7 percent. (Figure 1)


The main driver to the upward trend of the overall inflation for this income group in March 2024 was the higher year-on-year growth in the heavily-weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages at 8.9 percent from 6.9 percent in the previous month. This was followed by transport, which posted a higher annual increase of 4.0 percent during the month from 3.5 percent in February 2024, and personal care and miscellaneous goods which registered 2.4 percent in March 2024 from 2.0 percent in the previous month.


Higher annual increments were also noted in the indices of the following:
a.    Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuel, -1.5 percent from -1.6 percent;
b.    Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance, 2.5 from 2.4 percent; and
c.    Health, 3.6 percent from 3.5 percent;
d.    Information and communication, 0.7 percent from 0.6 percent; and
e.    Restaurants and accommodation services, 3.5 percent from 3.1 percent.

In contrast, lower annual growth rates were noted in the indices of
a.    Alcoholic beverages and tobacco, 4.5 percent from 5.3 percent;
b.    Clothing and footwear, 2.1 percent from 2.4 percent; and
c.    Recreation, sport and culture, 4.0 percent from 4.5 percent.
The indices of education and financial services retained their respective previous month’s annual rates. 


Food Inflation


Food inflation for the bottom 30% income households at the regional level moved at a faster pace of 9.3 percent in March 2024 from 7.2 percent in the previous month. In March 2023, its annual increase was observed at 8.4 percent. 


Main Drivers to the Upward Trend of the Food Inflation


The uptrend in the food inflation was mainly due to the increase in vegetable, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses at -2.1 percent from -11.2 percent, cereals and cereal products at 21.7 percent from 20.2 percent, and fish and other seafood at 3.2 percent from 2.4 percent.


3. Benguet

Following the trend of the inflation at the national and regional level, inflation in Benguet further increased to 5.6 percent in March 2024, from 4.2 percent in February 2024. In March 2023, inflation was higher at 5.8 percent. (Table B and Figure 2)

The main driver in the uptrend of inflation for this group in February 2024 was food and non-alcoholic beverages at 5.0 percent, from 2.5 percent in the previous month. This was followed by housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels at 3.9 percent from 2.6 percent, and transport at 15.6 percent, from the 15.4 percent in the previous month.  Moreover, the following also increased during the month:


a.    Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Health, 6.1 percent from 6.0 percent;
b.    Health, 8.8 percent from 8.2 percent;
c.    Restaurants and accommodation services, 9.7 percent from 9.2; and
d.    Personal care, and miscellaneous goods and services, 1.7 percent from 1.6 percent.

On the contrary, decreases were observed in the index of the following:
a.    Clothing and footwear, 0.8 percent from 1.1 percent; 
b.    Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance, 2.0 percent and 2.6 percent; and 
c.    Recreation, sport and culture, 5.9 percent from 6.7 percent.

Meanwhile, no change recorded for the rest of the commodity groups.


Food Inflation


Food inflation for the bottom 30% income households at the provincial level moved at a faster pace of 5.1 percent in March 2024 from 2.5 percent in the previous month. In March 2023, its annual increase was observed at 8.1 percent. 


Main Drivers to the Upward Trend of the Food Inflation


The uptrend in the food inflation was mainly due to the increase in vegetable, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses at 3.9 percent from -14.6 percent, cereals and cereal products at 11.9 percent from 11.8 percent, and at 1.3 percent from -0.6 percent, and sugar, confectionery and desserts at –6.0 percent from -6.7 percent. Increases were also recorded for fish and other seafood at 1.3 percent from 1.2 percent.

On the contrary, decreases were observed in the index of the following:
a.    Meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals, -0.2 percent from 1.3 percent;
b.    Milk, other dairy products and eggs, 4.6 percent from 5.5 percent; 
c.    Oils and fats, -9.1 percent from -8.9 percent;
d.    Fruits and Nuts, 1.9 percent from 3.3 percent; and
e.    Ready-made food and other food products n.e.c, 5.0 percent from 6.1 percent.

Note: CPIs and inflation rates by region, province and selected city are posted at the PSA website (https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/).


IMELDA L. BUYUCCAN(SGD)
Chief Statistical Specialist

/SMBP
 

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